U.S. forecasters have unveiled their projections for the 2020 Atlantic hurricane season and it promises to be a busy one with 13 to 19 named storms and 6 to 10 becoming hurricanes.
The U.S. National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration (NOAA) believes several factors are at play this year including above average sea surface temperatures, weaker tropical trade winds and an expected La Nina climate pattern.
Although the season doesn’t officially begin until 01 June, there has already been one named storm – Arthur – which had peak wind gusts of 95 km/h and neared the Southeastern U.S. before moving out to sea without striking land.
The Canadian Hurricane Centre will also be keeping an eye on storms which enter northern waters.
Last September, Hurricane Dorian made landfall near Halifax and caused destruction across Nova Scotia, Southeast New Brunswick and Prince Edward Island.
The 2018 Atlantic hurricane season is shifting into high gear as it often does this month.
Florence is the newest storm to pose a threat and the Category 3 storm is now churning toward Bermuda.
Some computer models are suggesting Florence could impact the U.S. Eastern Seaboard by the middle of next week.
Even if Florence stays out to sea, forecasters say numerous other systems are developing over the Atlantic as the hurricane season reaches its average peak on September 10th.
Tropical Storm Philippe, the 16th named storm and 18th tropical system of the 2017 Atlantic hurricane season, is no more according to the U.S. National Hurricane Center.
The storm brought heavy rain to central Cuba and the Bahamas in addition to spawning several tornadoes when it crossed south Florida.
Sustained winds reached 95 km/h with higher gusts reported before Philippe weakened over the western Atlantic.
However, Environment Canada says the remnants are combining with a low pressure system which will bring strong winds and heavy rain to New Brunswick on Monday.
The parade of hurricanes in the Atlantic continues with Maria making landfall late tonight over the eastern Caribbean island nation of Dominica as a powerful category 5 storm packing sustained winds of 260 km/h.
The U.S. National Hurricane Center is outlying a path for Maria which is eerily similar to the recent Hurricane Irma with the U.S and British Virgin Islands and Puerto Rico expected to be impacted on Wednesday.
Maria will be accompanied by a dangerous storm surge and between 300-500 mm (12-20 inches) of rain to some of the islands causing life-threatening flash floods and mudslides.
Meantime, Hurricane Jose is still churning northward as a category 1 storm with heavy surf and rip currents along the U.S East Coast from North Carolina to Massachusetts.
Canadian forecasters say the remnants of Jose have already brought high humidity to the Maritimes and will give Nova Scotia persistent moisture and cloud cover as well as rough surf along the Atlantic coast.
The U.S. National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration is predicting hurricane activity in the North Atlantic Ocean in 2017 is likely to be above normal (45 percent) or near-normal (35 percent).
The Canadian Hurricane Centre says it responds to 4 or 5 tropical cyclone events each year on average, with 1 or 2 of those affecting Canadian land and another 2 or 3 threatening offshore waters.
Hurricanes are typically a greater concern in Canadian waters later in the season but the Canadian Hurricane Centre monitors the Atlantic Ocean year‑round for any tropical or tropical‑like cyclone that could pose a threat to Canada or its waters.
Heavy rain and flooding swept away bridges in Costa Rica, 25 Nov 2016 (Reuters)
Otto has become the strongest storm so late in the Atlantic hurricane season to make landfall.
Otto struck the coast of Nicaragua and Costa Rica as a category 2 hurricane but has since been downgraded to a tropical storm as it weakens in the eastern Pacific Ocean.
Forecasters say exceptionally high sea surface temperatures of around 29 C added extra fuel to the storm which delivered a month’s worth of rain in a few hours.
Officials say the death toll was nine but could have been higher if the storm had hit major population centres.
One of the most powerful Atlantic hurricanes in recent history, Matthew is swirling in the Caribbean with Haiti in its direct path.
The category 4 storm with sustained winds of 220 km/h and heavy rains causing flooding have forced thousands in Haiti and Jamaica to emergency shelters.
The U.S. National Hurricane Center says Matthew may lose some steam as it moves across Haiti, eastern Cuba and the Bahamas.
Forecasters currently believe Matthew will remain close to Florida and offshore to the east but caution its path could change.
If you liked this summer in Southeast New Brunswick, chances are you will like this autumn too as the Weather Network unveils its fall 2016 forecast.
Warm, sunny days are expected to continue for at least the first half of fall.
After a dry summer, rainfall will be near normal with the first snow possible by late November.
Forecasters will be keeping a close eye on the Atlantic hurricane season and how it may affect the Maritimes especially since it is already off to a busy start.
Hurricane Earl – the fifth named storm of the 2016 Atlantic hurricane season – with sustained winds of 120 km/h is racing toward Honduras, Belize, Guatemala and Mexico’s Yucatan Peninsula.
Forecasters say parts of Belize could be hit with heavy rain which could top 300 mm with possible flooding and mudslides over mountainous areas.
Earl is expected to weaken over land and possibly strengthen when it reaches the Bay of Campeche with another landfall near Veracruz, Mexico expected.
Post-Tropical Storm Colin, 08 June 2015 (CTV/Twitter)
By the time Colin had arrived in Canadian waters earlier today, it had become a post-tropical storm – essentially a strong low pressure system.
Much of Florida had received heavy rain from Colin before the storm moved into the Atlantic Ocean and tracked northeastward.
Wind was not a factor for the Maritimes but heavy rain fell in eastern Nova Scotia, Cape Breton Island and Newfoundland.
Greater Moncton received less than 20 mm of rain between remnants of Colin and another low pressure system which was crossing New Brunswick.
Colin was the third named storm of the 2016 Atlantic Hurricane Season – after Bonnie in late May and Alex in mid-January.