Grass turning brown in NE Moncton, 26 July 2017 (Dearing)
Lawns are turning brown and gardens are thirsty in Southeast New Brunswick given the light amount of precipitation recorded so far this month.
Environment Canada says 29.8 mm of rain has fallen this July in Greater Moncton compared to an average of 92.1 mm – just under one-third of normal.
No significant rainfall is expected before the end of the month.
By contrast, parts of neighbouring Nova Scotia have been much wetter than normal with 135 mm to date at Halifax Stanfield Airport.
An ominous afternoon sky over Greater Moncton, 17 July 2017 (Dearing)
For whatever reason, summer seems to go by faster than the other seasons and here we are already at the midway point of July.
After 16 days, Greater Moncton has been having a decent month with an average temperature of 19.3 C which is 0.5 degrees above normal.
Daytime highs have been warm but not hot with a peak of 29.4 C on 16 July while overnight lows have been mild except for a chilly low of 8.9 C on 05 July.
The only concern is a lack of rainfall.
The tally is 19.8 mm so far – less than a quarter of the monthly total – but keep in mind we are entering what is traditionally the driest period of the year in Southeast New Brunswick.
(Stats courtesy Environment Canada)
Ominous clouds near the Nova Scotia-New Brunswick border, 03 June 2017 (Dearing)
Thunderstorm activity was common throughout Southeast New Brunswick in June and all but ten days had at least a trace of rainfall.
But precipitation amounts were generally light in Greater Moncton except for two major rain events – 36.6 mm fell on 09 June along with a peak wind gust of 102 km/h and 21.2 mm fell on 24 June.
Temperatures were cool during the first week of the month with an overnight low dropping to the freezing point although frost was generally avoided thanks to cloudy skies.
Summer-like conditions arrived by mid-month and many daytime highs climbed well into the 20’s C and reached 30 C or higher three times.
JUNE 2017 ALMANAC (at Greater Moncton Int’l Airport, 1981-2010)
Average HIGH 22.4 C
Average LOW 9.9 C
AVERAGE 16.2 C (about 1.0 degree ABOVE normal)
Extreme HIGH 30.8 C (11 June)
Extreme LOW 0.0 C (06 June)
RAINFALL 77.8 mm (about 20 percent BELOW normal)
(Data courtesy Environment Canada)
Heavy rain, hail and wind, Plaster Rock, NB, 27 June 2017 (Greg LeBel/Facebook)
An unstable air mass moved from west to east in New Brunswick producing severe thunderstorms bringing torrential rain, large hail and strong winds.
Environment Canada believes a severe thunderstorm formed near Doaktown and possibly spawned a tornado that moved into the Blackville area last night.
Golf ball size hail and damaging winds with gusts up to 100 km/h were recorded in the Plaster Rock area.
Southeast New Brunswick has seen an above average 18 days with thunderstorm activity this June and a severe thunderstorm watch was issued in the region this afternoon.
Aboiteau Beach, Cap-Pele, NB, 11 June 2017 (Dearing)
Although I walked along Parlee Beach earlier this spring, my first official beach day of the season was a visit to Aboiteau Beach in Cap-Pele yesterday.
Under a mostly sunny sky, the afternoon high soared above 30 C although the water of the Northumberland Strait was a lot cooler.
Signage indicated the water quality was good for swimming.
The only minor downside was the wind which at times gusted to more than 80 km/h creating mini sand storms on the beach.
Welcome to meteorological summer 2017 – the months of June, July and August!
Environment Canada says Southeast New Brunswick has a 50% probability of having above normal temperatures.
Precipitation is expected to be near normal in New Brunswick but southern Nova Scotia has a 40% probability of having below normal rainfall.
Trailing arbutus or Mayflower growing in Irishtown Nature Park, 20 May 2017 (Dearing)
May in Southeast New Brunswick certainly lived up to its unpredictable nature as a transitional month between winter and summer.
Overall temperatures were above normal in Greater Moncton but oddly enough some of the coolest days were in the last third of the month.
Many days were cloudy and rainfall was heavy with only seven days without at least a trace of precipitation.
By the final week, trees were in full leaf or blossom and perennials were in full bloom.
MAY 2017 ALMANAC (at Greater Moncton Int’l Airport, 1981-2010)
Average HIGH 16.1 C
Average LOW 5.1 C
AVERAGE 10.8 C (about 0.8 degrees ABOVE normal)
Extreme HIGH 30.5 C (18 May)
Extreme LOW -0.4 C (13 May)
RAINFALL 163.5 mm (about 40 percent ABOVE normal)
(Data courtesy Environment Canada)
The Weather Network has released its summer 2017 forecast covering June, July and August.
A changeable summer is expected across Atlantic Canada with extended periods of above seasonal and below seasonal weather.
The southern Maritimes which includes Greater Moncton and Southeast New Brunswick and possibly into southern Newfoundland have the best chance of seeing temperatures tip to the warm side of normal.
Meanwhile, cooler than normal temperatures are expected to be more persistent across eastern Labrador and northern Newfoundland.
Near normal rainfall is expected this summer except for western and northern New Brunswick.
There is the potential for a couple of systems to tap into subtropical or tropical moisture and bring above normal rainfall to parts of the region.
Dandelions growing in NE Moncton, 13 May 2017 (Dearing)
The dandelions are out in full force as Southeast New Brunswick welcomed a beautiful, sunny day following a cold, grey and rainy week.
The normal high in Greater Moncton for mid-May is 17 C and temperatures didn’t even reach 10 C for two days in a row.
Rainfall has already reached 87 mm and the normal monthly total is 93 mm.
Forecasters are calling for 20-30 mm rain early next week thanks to another low pressure system.
Snow finally melting in NE Moncton, 05 April 2017 (Dearing)
Good news… spring may finally be arriving!
Environment Canada says the recent winter-like grip over Southeast New Brunswick will finally give way to milder temperatures and rain beginning later this week.
Temperatures will finally climb into the double digits Celsius by Friday for the first time since 01 March!
Localized flooding is possible over ground which may still be frozen and in areas with a significant snow cover.
Another sign of a change in seasons is the return of many migratory birds in Greater Moncton this week with chirping sounds not heard in months.