Sunset at Irishtown Nature Park, 25 January 2020 (Dearing)
Glancing at the data for January 2020, one would think it was as cold if not colder than normal in Southeast New Brunswick.
The thermometer sank below -10°C on sixteen days while four of those days dropped to -20°C or lower during the month.
Despite the frigid weather, January was in fact almost three degrees above normal in Greater Moncton.
Despite two major snowfalls (including one event near 30 cm) and some rainfall, precipitation was close to the thirty-year average.
JANUARY 2020 ALMANAC (at Greater Moncton Int’l Airport, 1981-2010)
Average HIGH -2.1°C
Average LOW -10.1°C
AVERAGE -6.1°C (about 2.8 degrees ABOVE normal)
Extreme HIGH 10.9°C (11 Jan)
Extreme LOW -21.3°C (18 and 22 Jan)
RAINFALL 24.6 mm (NEAR normal)
SNOWFALL 69.6 cm (NEAR normal)
(Data courtesy Environment Canada)
Centennial Park, Moncton, 14 Oct 2019 (Dearing)
Daytime highs were consistently in the mid-teens in Southeast New Brunswick during October which usually sees a sharp drop in temperature as the month progresses.
The average temperature was 0.7°C above normal in Greater Moncton with two days failing to reach 10°C and the warmest maximum on the last day, 19.3°C.
Six days had lows below freezing with some light frost but there was no hard freeze allowing vegetation to flourish.
The precipitation total mostly came from five rainfall events with not a single snowflake recorded.
Fall foliage peaked prior to Thanksgiving weekend and several strong wind events left few leaves on trees by Halloween night.
OCTOBER 2019 ALMANAC (at Greater Moncton Int’l Airport, 1981-2010)
Average HIGH 13.5°C
Average LOW 3.0°C
AVERAGE 8.3°C (about 0.7 degrees ABOVE normal)
Extreme HIGH 19.3°C (31 Oct)
Extreme LOW -2.7°C (27 Oct)
RAINFALL 102.7 mm (slightly BELOW normal)
(Data courtesy Environment Canada)
Forest fire near River Glade, NB, 07 May 2013 (Dearing)
A wet, cold spring and a dry, humid July have led to one of the quietest forest fire seasons in recent memory in New Brunswick.
Statistics show 152 fires for the season to date which compares to 206 fires over the past ten years.
Last year was also much busier with 242 fires recorded by the middle of August.
Provincial wildfire officials say although July was warmer than normal, high humidity levels helped prevent fires from starting and from spreading.
It’s been a cold spring in Greater Moncton and the thermometer didn’t reach 20°C until 25 May – so when will it hit 30°C?
According to Environment Canada, the average date since 2013 has ranged from mid-May to late June but mainly late May.
While June has been warmer to date in Southeast New Brunswick, the long range forecast is calling for cooler conditions.
Will we have to wait until July this year?
After a cold and wet spring in New Brunswick, what will summer be like?
The Weather Network has unveiled its summer 2019 forecast and if you were hoping for warmer temperatures, it appears you may have to wait a little longer.
TWN suggests the season will be changeable and humid with cool weather in June but warmer than normal temperatures arriving in July stretching into August.
Extended periods of dry weather could lead to short term drought in parts of the Maritimes but overall precipitation will likely be near normal.
What about the spring 2019 forecast from The Weather Network?
TWN noted a cold wave in early March would be followed by a warmer pattern later in the month with more consistent spring-like weather by early April.
Both temperatures and precipitation were expected to be near normal.
So was the seasonal forecast accurate?
While early March was cold in Greater Moncton with a bitter low of -20.1 C, a warmer pattern never really developed except for a brief shot of warmth at month end.
April had some warmth in the middle but that fizzled near the end and while May started off strong, a cold pattern held steady for the second half of the month.
Precipitation was below seasonal in March, well above average in April and slightly above normal for May.
Hummingbird feeder in NE Moncton, 05 May 2019 (Dearing)
It took a little bit longer this spring compared to the last several years but Greater Moncton has finally reached 20°C.
The daytime high Sunday was 19.7°C which is about as close as you can get and while it was a cooler Monday, the temperature climbed to 21.1°C Tuesday.
Environment Canada is forecasting cooler, slightly below temperatures for the remainder of the week.
Annual dates reaching 20°C…
- 2019 – 05 May
- 2018 – 24 April
- 2017 – 11 April
- 2016 – 21 April
- 2015 – 04 May
- 2014 – 13 April
Snow in west end Moncton, 09 April 2019 (Dearing)
Real winter weather in New Brunswick started early – back in mid-November – and the relentless season hangs on.
Greater Moncton recorded 7 cm of snow overnight with more than 10 cm in southwestern New Brunswick and western Nova Scotia.
The strong April sun had melted most it by the end of the day.
But another weak system tonight could bring another 4 cm.
Warmer weather is on the way with Environment Canada forecasting highs in the double digits by the weekend.
Most Canadians know winter, astronomically speaking, begins around 21 December but we know the season actually gets underway weeks before then.
Meteorologists like to package winter into neat three month blocks which is why 01 December marks the start of meteorological winter and 28 February marks the end.
In its three month outlook, Environment Canada expects most of New Brunswick will have above normal temperatures and near normal precipitation.
A large swath of the Arctic will likely be warmer than usual while Ontario and the southern Prairies will have higher amounts of rain and snow compared to normal.